99.9% Chance the Fed Will Cut Next Month
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In this episode, I review why U.S. core inflation’s rise to 3.1% actually boosted market confidence in a September rate cut. Despite hotter data, investors cheered a “not worse than feared” outcome.
Also in this episode:
📉 Markets react to softer headline CPI and a weak jobs report, increasing rate cut odds to nearly 100%.
Trump slams Powell again, demanding rate cuts—while claiming the economy is “soooo good.”
Canada holds rates steady as the Bank of Canada grapples with sticky inflation and a weakening loonie.
⚖️ The real dilemma: Who’s risking more—Fed with a cut or BoC with a hold?
đź“Š October outlook: Markets bet heavily on at least one U.S. rate cut, maybe two.
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