The Economic Indicator That Knows Before the Crash
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In this episode, I look at the ISM Manufacturing PMI. This is a powerful but underappreciated economic signal. With nine straight months of contraction and broad sector weakness, this report reveals early signs of a broader slowdown you can't afford to ignore.
Also in this episode:
📉 New Orders fall again, showing businesses are bracing for weaker demand in early 2026.
👷♂️ Hiring freezes persist across manufacturing, with 67% of firms managing headcounts down.
📦 Backlogs keep dropping, stripping away the buffer that sustained production in previous months.
🚚 Supplier deliveries are speeding up, a hidden sign that demand is cooling throughout the supply chain.
🛒 Customer inventories stay low, but restocking isn't happening , a signal of caution, not strength.
💰 Input prices rise even as demand weakens, pointing to sticky cost pressures across the sector.
Chapters
0:00 Intro
0:37 November PMI Report & 2025 Downward Trend
1:10 What is the PMI
2:07 Employment
2:39 New Orders
3:03 Backlog of Orders
3:44 Supplier Deliveries
4:46 Customers' Inventories
5:19 Prices
5:47 Industries Reporting Growth
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The views and opinions shared on this channel are for informational and educational purposes only. Although previously licensed, the contributors are no longer industry participants and are not licensed to provide financial advice. They strive to provide you with educational information in an entertaining manner. Always do your own research and due diligence before investing. Generally speaking, you should consult a licensed investment professional before investing.
